Model Simulasi Tindakan Pencegahan Kejadian Diabetes Mellitus Tipe 2 (Analisis Data RISKESDAS Sulsel Tahun 2013)

Abstract

Introduction: Prevalence of type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (DM) increase and cost of treatment is expensive make economic burden. The study aims to determine type of simulation models are most appropriate precautions to reduce the rate in the incidence of Diabetes in South Sulawesi by using a dynamic model approach.

Methods: The design of this study was a cross sectional using data of Riskesdas South Sulawesi in 2013, especially members of the household aged 45+ years. The research sample was data associated with research variables are the number of type 2 DM, the obesity prevalence, consumption of foods/drinks sweet, salty, and fatty foods, fruits and vegetables, and physical activity. Data analysis with dynamic systems using Powersim Program.

Result: Showed that in 10 years from now estimated incidence of DM increased by 2,86x fold from 692 people in the years 2013 to 1.984 people in 2022 if it was not controlled diabetes risk factors. Increased of diabetes could be prevented by controlling the various risk factors namely control obesity prevented as many as 9,32%, physical activity prevented DM amount 7,15%, consumption of fruits and vegetables prevented DM accounted for 24,54%, controlling the consumption of fruits, vegetables and physical activity prevented DM 25,3%, and consumption of fruits, vegetables, physical activity and obesity to prevent DM as many as 27,41%.

Conclusion: The most appropriate strategy to reduce the rate in the incidence of diabetes is model VI by combining control of fruits and vegetables consumption, physical activity, and obesity. It is recommended to government to ensure the availability and affordability of fruits and vegetables and to the community to increase fruits and vegetables consumption.